The war in Ukraine has transcended traditional warfare and has evolved into a Total War, utilizing not only conventional military forces but also pioneering technologies in the realm of cyberspace. This conflict, which has marked the largest European land war since World War II, has also become the first large-scale shooting war between two technologically advanced nations in the virtual realm. In the face of mounting challenges, Ukraine’s limited resources and manpower have compelled it to embrace a Total War approach, where all available resources are seen as vital to the war effort. This includes treating civilians as military targets and targeting non-offensive infrastructure, resulting in higher casualties.
As the world becomes increasingly reliant on technologies such as artificial intelligence, unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs), and cyberweapons like malware and disinformation campaigns, it is imperative to comprehend their role in modern warfare. Dr. Jordan Richard Schoenherr, an assistant professor in the Department of Psychology, argues that our understanding of warfare is outdated and must take into account the intricate interplay between technology and human organizational behavior within sociotechnical systems. By adopting a sociotechnical perspective, military planners can gain insights into the potential and vulnerabilities of these systems, leading to more effective strategic thinking and decision-making.
The war in Ukraine serves as a testing ground for the rapid deployment of cutting-edge technologies by both sides. The conflict demonstrates the “Totalization of warfare in sociotechnical systems,” building upon previous instances of cyberwarfare in Kosovo, Iraq, and Azerbaijan and Armenia. Schoenherr also highlights the ongoing cyberattacks launched by North Korea and China against their adversaries. According to Schoenherr, cyberwarfare only gained substantial significance in the early 2000s, as state and non-state actors realized the potential for psychological warfare in the digital age. The convergence of cyberwarfare and AI-driven technologies, such as malware and drones, has paved the way for novel and multifaceted warfare strategies.
With the integration of AI, UAVs, and 3D-printed materials onto the battlefield, the study of supply chain dynamics becomes increasingly critical. High-tech weapons are rendered ineffective without specialized components, raising concerns about the origin and reliability of these components. Geopolitical tensions often give rise to illicit sales or smuggling by third parties, as exemplified by the discovery of Western-made parts in downed Russian drones. The vulnerabilities within the supply chain underscore the importance of comprehensive supply chain management to ensure the integrity and reliability of technologically advanced weaponry.
Schoenherr draws attention to the prevailing culture of paranoia in strategic decision-making, reminiscent of the Cold War era’s arms race. The concept of Total War has undergone significant transformations in recent decades, blurring the lines between militaries and civilians, and obfuscating the start and end of wars. This paradigm shift introduces new challenges, as conflicts can rapidly escalate and spiral out of control. Understanding the mechanisms behind such escalations enables us to adopt more effective conflict management and de-escalation strategies.
Charting the Course for Future Warfare
The war in Ukraine has not only redefined the nature of modern warfare but has also highlighted the need for a comprehensive understanding of sociotechnical systems. By embracing a sociotechnical perspective, military planners can gain valuable insights into the intricacies of warfare in the digital age. As our reliance on technology grows, it is essential to assess the potential risks and vulnerabilities associated with emerging technologies. By doing so, we equip ourselves with the tools to navigate the complexities of future conflicts and foster a more secure and stable global landscape.